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2012-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% -
Bradley-Terry 18.2% 81.8% -
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 12.7% 87.3% -
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +21 (78-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Anderson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 3 22 31 -
J. Daniels * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 1 0 4 8 14 -
L. Jackson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 10 9 -
M. Humphrey * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 6 9 -
D. Clifford * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 3 2 6 12 -
P. Heckmann 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 4 11 -
J. Cahill Jr. 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
K. Caudill 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 1 5 -
G. Moton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
P. Rehnquist 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Kilcullen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Brown * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 5 1 3 12 26 -
C.J. Leslie * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 1 3 11 23 -
S. Wood * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 1 0 22 31 -
C.J. Williams * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 5 13 -
R. Howell * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 2 9 19 -
D. Painter 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 10 11 -
A. Johnson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 4 6 -
K. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Raymond 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
T. de Thaey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
S. Battle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter