Elon
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 812 (#271) | Preseason prior 786 (returning production + recruiting): last season 890, returning -16, transfers -61, freshmen -27 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 918 (#250) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 919 (#252) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.4 (#137) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.4 (#137) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.366 (#201) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.496 (#150) | AdjNet +4.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.489 (#157) | AdjNet +4.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.494 (#157) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 65.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.493 (#159) | AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 65.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.470 (#167) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.470 (#167) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 906 (#245) | RD 170 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.386 (#220) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Columbia Lions | W | 84 - 71 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | UNC Greensboro Spartans | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | George Washington Revolutionaries | L | 50 - 69 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Chattanooga Mocs | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | South Carolina Gamecocks | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | vs | Morehead State Eagles | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joshua Dalton
|
F | 4 | 29.0 | 14.8 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 9.5 | 14.8 | -2 | 4 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 50.0 | 38.5 | 88.9 | -0.03 | 64.2 | 56.6 |
Bryson Cokley
|
G | 4 | 24.5 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 3.0 | -5 | 4 | -1.2 | -2.0 | 38.2 | 28.6 | 83.3 | -0.37 | 47.8 | 44.1 |
Hunter Harding
|
C | 4 | 18.5 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 10.5 | 14 | 4 | 3.5 | 7.7 | 54.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.77 | 66.3 | 56.8 |
Randall Pettus II
|
G | 4 | 26.0 | 8.2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 2.8 | -7 | 4 | -1.8 | -2.7 | 38.7 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.05 | 49.0 | 46.8 |
Isaiah Mbeng
|
G | 4 | 22.5 | 7.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 2.0 | -1 | 4 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 35.7 | 30.0 | 66.7 | -0.63 | 47.7 | 46.4 |
Iker Garmendia
|
F | 3 | 14.7 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 8.7 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.5 | 50.0 | 46.2 | -0.43 | 50.7 | 50.0 |
Raúl Villar
|
G | 3 | 29.7 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 9.0 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -4.5 | 36.8 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.36 | 43.9 | 36.8 |
Cam Thrower
|
G | 4 | 16.5 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 39.1 | 21.4 | 100.0 | 0.21 | 48.2 | 45.7 |
Caleb Zhu
|
F | 4 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | -16 | 4 | -4.0 | -12.2 | 41.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.82 | 43.6 | 41.7 |
Korbin Dixon
|
G | 4 | 11.5 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -6 | 4 | -1.5 | -5.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 75.0 | -0.43 | 73.1 | 62.5 |
Dacen Petty
|
G | 3 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 22.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
Alex Brabec
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Alex Olander
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Ben Safran
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Marko Sarenac
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Brady Sehlhorst
|
F | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 1 | 3.0 | 27.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Elon players in EuroLeague 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Elon game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Bryant | 2014-15 | EuroLeague | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 11 | 28.8 | 14.5 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 11-12 12 pts, 5 reb, 5 ast | 6 GP, 13.7 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 4.2 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Elijah Bryant | EuroLeague | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | @ Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv | 31 | 12 | 5 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Elijah Bryant | EuroLeague | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | vs FC Barcelona | 28 | 25 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Elijah Bryant | EuroLeague | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | @ Dubai Basketball | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
226 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Joshua DaltonBryson CokleyRandall Pettus IIIsaiah MbengHunter HardingIker Garmendia
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 45-67 | 67.2 | 90 | Joshua Dalton 22% (20 pts) | Hunter Harding 18% (16 pts) | Joshua Dalton 27% (6 misses) | Hunter Harding 23% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 9-40 | 22.5 | 18 | Hunter Harding 33% (6 pts) | Raúl Villar 22% (4 pts) | Randall Pettus II 19% (6 misses) | Caleb Zhu 13% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-9 | 22.2 | 4 | Joshua Dalton 50% (2 pts) | Randall Pettus II 50% (2 pts) | Bryson Cokley 43% (3 misses) | Dacen Petty 14% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-6 | 50.0 | 6 | Bryson Cokley 33% (2 pts) | Cam Thrower 33% (2 pts) | Bryson Cokley 33% (1 misses) | Randall Pettus II 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 7-16 | 43.8 | 14 | Joshua Dalton 43% (6 pts) | Bryson Cokley 29% (4 pts) | Bryson Cokley 22% (2 misses) | Joshua Dalton 22% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-5 | 40.0 | 6 | Joshua Dalton 50% (3 pts) | Korbin Dixon 50% (3 pts) | Iker Garmendia 33% (1 misses) | Isaiah Mbeng 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Bryson Cokley 60% (3 misses) | Isaiah Mbeng 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-30 | 30.0 | 27 | Bryson Cokley 22% (6 pts) | Isaiah Mbeng 22% (6 pts) | Randall Pettus II 33% (7 misses) | Isaiah Mbeng 29% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 7-16 | 43.8 | 21 | Isaiah Mbeng 29% (6 pts) | Randall Pettus II 29% (6 pts) | Bryson Cokley 22% (2 misses) | Cam Thrower 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 10-32 | 31.2 | 30 | Bryson Cokley 20% (6 pts) | Cam Thrower 20% (6 pts) | Bryson Cokley 23% (5 misses) | Cam Thrower 18% (4 misses) |