Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton Tigers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | +9.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +2 (60-58). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Davis * | 39 | 7-17 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Bray * | 34 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Brendan Connolly * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Ian Hummer * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Will Barrett * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Patrick Saunders | 26 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Denton Koon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Mack Darrow | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Hazel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jimmy Sherburne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Brown * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| C.J. Williams * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Richard Howell * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| DeShawn Painter * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Vandenberg * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Alex Johnson | 37 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Harris | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Scott Wood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter