Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton Tigers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +2 (60-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Davis * | 39 | 7-17 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Bray * | 34 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | - |
| B. Connolly * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| I. Hummer * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| W. Barrett * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| P. Saunders | 26 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D. Koon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Darrow | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Hazel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Sherburne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| C.J. Williams * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| R. Howell * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. Painter * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Vandenberg * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Johnson | 37 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Harris | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Wood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter