Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 27 | - |
| S. Wood * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Leslie * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 26 | - |
| R. Howell * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 22 | - |
| C.J. Williams * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Johnson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D. Painter | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| T. Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bullock Jr. * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | - |
| K. Marshall * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 23 | - |
| H. Barnes * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| T. Zeller * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 32 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Watts | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Hubert | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter