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Florida State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Florida State Seminoles, Florida State
Program History
Coach: Leonard Hamilton

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

80.8
PPG
78.2
Opp
+2.6
Margin
44.1%
FG%
33.4%
3P%
70.8%
FT%
35.1
RPG
14.5
APG
10.8
TO
82.5
Pace
84.0
AdjO
73.2
AdjD
#64
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1231 (#33) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1098 (#93) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1052 (#103) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +10.5 (#64) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +24.6 (#58) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.587 (#119) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.9 More → 0.589 (#147) NetEff +2.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.4 More → 0.840 (#60) AdjNet +14.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.6 More → 0.844 (#60) AdjNet +14.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.726 (#64) AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 73.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.648 (#72) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 73.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.891 (#57) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.864 (#56) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 32 More → 1216 (#58) RD 132 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Alcorn State Braves W 108 - 76
2025-11-07 vs Alabama State Hornets W 101 - 64
2025-11-11 @ Florida Gators L 76 - 78
2025-11-18 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 87 - 73
2025-11-21 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 98 - 72
2025-11-25 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 89 - 59
2025-11-28 vs Texas A&M Aggies L 59 - 95
2025-12-02 vs Georgia Bulldogs L 73 - 107
2025-12-06 @ Houston Cougars L 67 - 82
2025-12-13 vs Massachusetts Minutemen L 95 - 103
2025-12-16 @ Dayton Flyers L 69 - 97
2025-12-19 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 96 - 49
2025-12-22 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 87 - 63
2025-12-30 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 66 - 79
2026-01-03 vs Duke Blue Devils L 87 - 91
2026-01-10 vs NC State Wolfpack L 69 - 113
2026-01-13 @ Syracuse Orange L 86 - 94
2026-01-20 @ Miami Hurricanes W 65 - 63
2026-01-24 @ SMU Mustangs L 80 - 83
2026-01-28 vs California Golden Bears W 63 - 61
2026-01-31 vs Stanford Cardinal W 88 - 80
2026-02-07 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 82 - 79
2026-02-10 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 58 - 61
2026-02-14 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 92 - 69
2026-02-17 vs Boston College Eagles W 80 - 72
2026-02-21 @ Clemson Tigers W 70 - 65
2026-02-24 vs Miami Hurricanes L 73 - 83
2026-02-28 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 80 - 71
2026-03-04 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 75 - 74
2026-03-07 vs SMU Mustangs W 91 - 78
2026-03-11 vs California Golden Bears W 95 - 89
2026-03-12 @ Duke Blue Devils L 79 - 80

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. McCray V R. McCray V - 32 28.8 16.5 3.8 6.1 1.3 0.5 3.4 12.9 11.8 62 2.8 4.6 46.1 35.8 70.3 0.62 55.5 51.9
C. Wiggins C. Wiggins F 31 27.7 13.2 3.9 0.9 0.3 0.2 1.0 9.7 7.9 21 1.0 1.6 47.7 39.6 83.9 0.44 62.6 59.7
L. Jones L. Jones - 32 29.5 12.9 5.6 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.0 9.7 11.2 61 2.5 4.4 43.2 33.1 76.3 0.66 56.9 51.9
K. MaGee K. MaGee G 32 19.8 8.2 2.9 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.7 6.7 5.4 19 0.9 1.7 38.1 32.9 74.1 0.24 54.5 50.9
Martin Somerville Martin Somerville - 32 26.1 8.0 2.9 2.4 1.5 0.0 1.0 6.8 7.0 78 3.5 6.1 33.8 34.1 77.8 0.9 51.9 47.3
Alex Steen Alex Steen - 31 20.0 6.9 5.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.9 3.7 10.4 13 0.6 1.5 63.2 0.0 71.1 -0.01 68.0 63.2
Thomas Bassong Thomas Bassong - 32 19.0 5.7 3.5 0.4 0.7 0.4 1.0 4.4 5.3 -10 -0.5 -1.1 48.6 23.9 53.7 -0.2 54.0 52.5
Cam Miles Cam Miles - 24 14.5 5.5 1.1 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.9 5.5 2.7 13 0.6 1.9 35.9 20.8 67.6 0.5 45.2 41.6
AJ Swinton AJ Swinton F 25 15.7 4.5 1.8 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 3.7 4.0 18 1.0 3.0 44.1 32.7 54.5 0.3 54.5 53.8
S. Muhammad S. Muhammad - 14 6.9 2.6 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.4 1.2 3.2 -9 -0.8 -4.8 76.5 0 58.8 -0.24 73.5 76.5
A. Maluk A. Maluk F 22 6.2 1.6 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.5 2.3 -3 -0.2 -1.0 36.4 28.6 56.2 -0.03 43.7 39.4
J. Crawford J. Crawford - 6 1.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 -0.2 -6 -1.2 -49.7 33.3 33.3 0 -0.1 50.0 50.0
Maximo Garcia-Plata Maximo Garcia-Plata G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Xavier Osceola Xavier Osceola G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jasen Lopez Jasen Lopez G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG