Florida State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
89.8
PPG
69.5
Opp
+20.2
Margin
45.1%
FG%
22.3%
3P%
80.9%
FT%
45.0
RPG
13.5
APG
11.3
TO
72.7
Est. poss./game
81.8
Adj PPG
71.3
Adj Opp PPG
#53
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1207 (#72) | Preseason prior 1189 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1076, returning -74, transfers +63, freshmen +125 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1109 (#83) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1106 (#83) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.4 (#58) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.4 (#58) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.872 (#58) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.790 (#52) | AdjNet +19.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.794 (#50) | AdjNet +19.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.715 (#53) | AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 71.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.714 (#53) | AdjO 81.7 | AdjD 71.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.758 (#64) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.758 (#64) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1143 (#84) | RD 167 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.745 (#64) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Florida A&M Rattlers | W | 112 - 69 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Troy Trojans | W | 91 - 68 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Florida Gators | L | 72 - 81 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | W | 84 - 60 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Ball State Cardinals | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Green Bay Phoenix | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sebastian Rancik
|
F | 4 | 29.8 | 20.8 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 13.2 | 13.5 | 78 | 4 | 19.5 | 26.1 | 50.9 | 23.8 | 88.9 | 2.11 | 64.0 | 55.7 |
Kameron Taylor
|
G | 4 | 27.0 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 12.8 | 72 | 4 | 18.0 | 26.6 | 58.6 | 30.0 | 94.4 | 1.59 | 73.1 | 63.8 |
Anthony Robinson II
|
G | 4 | 26.5 | 12.8 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 12.2 | 74 | 4 | 18.5 | 27.9 | 47.2 | 27.3 | 82.4 | 1.86 | 58.6 | 51.4 |
Shon Abaev
|
F | 4 | 28.2 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 12.0 | 8.2 | 67 | 4 | 16.8 | 23.7 | 31.2 | 16.7 | 80.0 | 1.39 | 41.2 | 34.4 |
Marcis Ponder
|
C | 4 | 20.2 | 9.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 12.0 | 44 | 4 | 11.0 | 21.7 | 70.6 | 0 | 68.4 | 0.87 | 72.9 | 70.6 |
Brandon Bass Jr.
|
G | 4 | 12.2 | 7.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 37 | 4 | 9.2 | 29.1 | 56.2 | 55.6 | 85.7 | 0.71 | 76.0 | 71.9 |
Alex Steen
|
F | 4 | 16.2 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 9.0 | 26 | 4 | 6.5 | 16.3 | 54.5 | 0 | 80.0 | 0.53 | 68.2 | 54.5 |
Martay Barnes
|
G | 4 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | -0.2 | 1 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 27.8 | 15.4 | 66.7 | -0.6 | 38.8 | 33.3 |
Elise Assui
|
G | 4 | 16.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 17 | 4 | 4.2 | 10.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 85.7 | 0.77 | 39.8 | 25.0 |
Cooper Schwieger
|
F | 4 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 12 | 4 | 3.0 | 10.2 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 40.0 | -0.57 | 30.3 | 27.3 |
AJ Swinton
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jalen Crawford
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -144.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.08 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
JD Jones
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -144.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0 | 0 |
Jasen Lopez
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Collin Paul
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Amare Robinson
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -144.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Florida State players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Florida State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes | 2020-21 | NBA | Toronto Raptors | 8 | 33.3 | 23.5 | 7.6 | 5.1 | 11-04 17 pts, 6 reb, 6 ast | 8 GP, 23.5 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 5.1 APG |
| Devin Vassell | 2018-20 | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | 11 | 29.4 | 11.5 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 11-13 7 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast | 11 GP, 11.5 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 3.0 APG |
| Patrick Williams | 2019-20 | NBA | Chicago Bulls | 4 | 24.3 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 11-13 13 pts, 4 reb, 2 ast | 4 GP, 8.2 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 2.8 APG |
| Terance Mann | 2015-19 | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | 6 | 15.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 11-11 6 pts, 1 reb, 3 ast | 6 GP, 1.3 PPG, 1.2 RPG, 1.5 APG |
| Dwayne Bacon | 2015-17 | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | 11 | 27.4 | 16.6 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 11-12 20 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast | 5 GP, 15.2 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 3.4 APG |
| Mfiondu Kabengele | 2017-19 | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | 11 | 23.4 | 14.4 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 11-12 12 pts, 6 reb, 4 ast | 5 GP, 16.2 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 1.4 APG |
| Trent Forrest | 2016-20 | EuroLeague | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 11 | 17.5 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 11-11 10 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast | 5 GP, 4.6 PPG, 1.4 RPG, 1.8 APG |
| John Butler Jr. | 2021-22 | G League | Wisconsin Herd | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-08 14 pts, 6 reb, 2 ast Play-In | 2 GP, 14.5 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Balsa Koprivica | 2019-21 | EuroCup | Recoletas Salud San Pablo Burgos | 6 | 15.7 | 5.5 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 11-11 6 pts, 11 reb, 1 ast | 4 GP, 6.0 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 1.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Patrick Williams | NBA | Chicago Bulls | vs Atlanta Hawks | 24 | 13 | 4 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Devin Vassell | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | vs Golden State Warriors | 23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Mfiondu Kabengele | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | @ Olympiacos Piraeus | 26 | 12 | 6 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Dwayne Bacon | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | @ Olympiacos Piraeus | 30 | 20 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Trent Forrest | EuroLeague | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | @ Paris Basketball | 16 | 10 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Terance Mann | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | @ New Orleans Pelicans | 18 | 6 | 1 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Patrick Williams | NBA | Chicago Bulls | vs San Antonio Spurs | 28 | 9 | 7 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Balsa Koprivica | EuroCup | Recoletas Salud San Pablo Burgos | @ Le Mans Sarthe Basket | 26 | 6 | 11 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Terance Mann | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | @ Dallas Mavericks | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Patrick Williams | NBA | Chicago Bulls | vs Philadelphia 76ers | 24 | 7 | 3 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | John Butler Jr. | G League Play-In | Wisconsin Herd | @ Iowa Wolves | 27 | 14 | 6 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Terance Mann | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | @ Atlanta Hawks | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Devin Vassell | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | @ Portland Trail Blazers | 21 | 15 | 2 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Mfiondu Kabengele | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | @ Virtus Bologna | 22 | 16 | 9 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | John Butler Jr. | G League Play-In | Wisconsin Herd | @ Iowa Wolves | 23 | 15 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Dwayne Bacon | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | @ Virtus Bologna | 28 | 13 | 5 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Devin Vassell | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | @ Sacramento Kings | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Trent Forrest | EuroLeague | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 16 | 1 | 2 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Scottie Barnes | NBA | Toronto Raptors | @ Denver Nuggets | 32 | 17 | 6 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Balsa Koprivica | EuroCup | Recoletas Salud San Pablo Burgos | vs Rostock Seawolves | 14 | 2 | 4 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-02 | Scottie Barnes | NBA | Toronto Raptors | @ LA Clippers | 38 | 22 | 15 | 8 | Box |
| 2026-11-01 | Scottie Barnes | NBA | Toronto Raptors | @ Los Angeles Lakers | 36 | 29 | 6 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Mfiondu Kabengele | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 17 | 7 | 7 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Dwayne Bacon | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 30 | 17 | 5 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-29 | Trent Forrest | EuroLeague | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | @ Real Madrid | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
253 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Sebastian RancikAnthony Robinson IIShon AbaevMarcis PonderBrandon Bass Jr.Martay BarnesElise Assui
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 35-53 | 66.0 | 70 | Marcis Ponder 20% (14 pts) | Sebastian Rancik 20% (14 pts) | Shon Abaev 33% (6 misses) | Alex Steen 17% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 44-76 | 57.9 | 88 | Sebastian Rancik 25% (22 pts) | Kameron Taylor 20% (18 pts) | Shon Abaev 22% (7 misses) | Sebastian Rancik 19% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 7-16 | 43.8 | 14 | Shon Abaev 43% (6 pts) | Sebastian Rancik 29% (4 pts) | Anthony Robinson II 33% (3 misses) | Sebastian Rancik 33% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Shon Abaev 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 7-13 | 53.8 | 14 | Anthony Robinson II 43% (6 pts) | Sebastian Rancik 29% (4 pts) | Shon Abaev 67% (4 misses) | Anthony Robinson II 17% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-17 | 23.5 | 12 | Martay Barnes 50% (6 pts) | Brandon Bass Jr. 25% (3 pts) | Elise Assui 23% (3 misses) | Sebastian Rancik 23% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-9 | 22.2 | 6 | Brandon Bass Jr. 50% (3 pts) | Shon Abaev 50% (3 pts) | Sebastian Rancik 43% (3 misses) | Kameron Taylor 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 7-26 | 26.9 | 21 | Sebastian Rancik 43% (9 pts) | Anthony Robinson II 14% (3 pts) | Anthony Robinson II 32% (6 misses) | Martay Barnes 26% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-16 | 18.8 | 9 | Anthony Robinson II 33% (3 pts) | Kameron Taylor 33% (3 pts) | Sebastian Rancik 54% (7 misses) | Kameron Taylor 15% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-26 | 19.2 | 15 | Brandon Bass Jr. 40% (6 pts) | Anthony Robinson II 20% (3 pts) | Shon Abaev 38% (8 misses) | Martay Barnes 19% (4 misses) |