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San Diego State

Also known as: San Diego State Aztecs, San Diego State
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

89.0
PPG
73.0
Opp
+16.0
Margin
54.5%
FG%
43.1%
3P%
75.6%
FT%
39.3
RPG
17.7
APG
16.7
TO
73.3
Est. poss./game
78.9
Adj PPG
69.7
Adj Opp PPG
#67
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1128 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1106, returning -28, transfers +50, freshmen -0 More โ†’ 1171 (#81) Preseason prior 1128 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1106, returning -28, transfers +50, freshmen -0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +212 elo More โ†’ 1120 (#75) HCA +212 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +212 elo More โ†’ 1082 (#64) HCA +212 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ +13.4 (#64) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ +13.2 (#63) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.792 (#83) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.6 More โ†’ 0.731 (#73) AdjNet +16.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.5 More โ†’ 0.733 (#74) AdjNet +16.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 69.7 More โ†’ 0.677 (#67) AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 69.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.8 | AdjD 69.7 More โ†’ 0.657 (#63) AdjO 78.8 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.732 (#67) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.728 (#67) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 187 | GP 3 More โ†’ 1147 (#80) RD 187 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.708 (#85) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 102 - 78
2026-11-07 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 77 - 66
2026-11-11 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 88 - 75
2026-11-15 vs New Mexico State Aggies - Preview
2026-11-18 vs Texas Southern Tigers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Latrell Davis Latrell Davis G 3 31.3 23.0 2.7 2.3 0.7 0.0 1.7 13.3 13.7 28 2 14.0 17.6 62.5 57.9 66.7 0.77 76.2 76.2
Elzie Harrington Elzie Harrington G 3 29.7 13.7 3.3 4.7 0.7 0.7 2.7 9.0 11.3 16 2 8.0 11.4 51.9 60.0 90.9 0.89 64.4 57.4
Jeremiah Cherry Jeremiah Cherry F 3 24.0 12.7 5.0 1.0 0.3 2.3 2.3 6.0 13.0 6 2 3.0 5.5 72.2 0 75.0 -0.33 75.9 72.2
Chance Gladden Chance Gladden G 3 30.3 11.0 3.0 4.7 1.7 0.3 2.3 5.3 13.0 31 2 15.5 19.9 50.0 0.0 85.0 0.1 66.5 50.0
Tae Simmons Tae Simmons F 3 24.3 11.0 7.0 0.3 1.3 0.0 1.0 8.3 10.3 20 2 10.0 17.8 56.0 50.0 50.0 1.43 57.9 58.0
Isaiah Sy Isaiah Sy F 3 22.3 9.3 5.3 2.3 0.3 0.3 1.7 6.0 10.0 18 2 9.0 16.8 44.4 40.0 100.0 0.81 67.8 61.1
Luca Vincini Luca Vincini F 3 15.3 3.7 5.3 1.7 0.3 1.0 1.7 3.0 7.3 23 2 11.5 27.6 55.6 0 50.0 0.86 55.7 55.6
Luka Skoric Luka Skoric F 3 15.3 3.7 2.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.7 23 2 11.5 27.1 33.3 20.0 66.7 0.88 47.3 38.9
David Torresani David Torresani G 3 6.7 1.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 10 2 5.0 24.1 0.0 0.0 60.0 0.33 28.8 0.0
Nick Anderson Nick Anderson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Cooper Cornelius Cooper Cornelius G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Raymar Gonzales Raymar Gonzales G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.77 0 0
Thokbor Majak Thokbor Majak F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.67 0 0
Zach White Zach White G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jel Malek Jel Malek G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Samson Mashebinu Samson Mashebinu F 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former San Diego State players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last San Diego State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Kawhi Leonard 2009-11 NBA Toronto Raptors 2 25.8 19.5 7.5 1.5 10-23 16 pts, 9 reb, 1 ast 2 GP, 19.5 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 1.5 APG
Jordan Schakel 2017-21 G League Valley Suns 0 - - - - 11-12 17 pts, 1 reb, 3 ast Play-In 3 GP, 13.7 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 2.3 APG
Nathan Mensah 2018-23 G League San Diego Clippers 0 - - - - 11-10 18 pts, 8 reb, 0 ast Play-In 3 GP, 10.0 PPG, 9.7 RPG, 1.0 APG
Malachi Flynn 2019-20 EuroCup Bahcesehir College Istanbul 7 24.5 15.0 1.7 3.0 11-11 15 pts, 0 reb, 1 ast 4 GP, 15.8 PPG, 1.2 RPG, 2.5 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-12 Jordan Schakel G League Play-In Valley Suns vs South Bay Lakers 29 17 1 3 Box
2026-11-11 Malachi Flynn EuroCup Bahcesehir College Istanbul vs Lietkabelis Panevezys 19 15 0 1 Box
2026-11-10 Nathan Mensah G League Play-In San Diego Clippers @ South Bay Lakers 32 18 8 0 Box
2026-11-10 Jordan Schakel G League Play-In Valley Suns @ Stockton Kings 22 8 5 1 Box
2026-11-09 Nathan Mensah G League Play-In San Diego Clippers @ South Bay Lakers 23 6 9 3 Box
2026-11-06 Nathan Mensah G League Play-In San Diego Clippers vs Valley Suns 27 6 12 0 Box
2026-11-06 Jordan Schakel G League Play-In Valley Suns @ San Diego Clippers 27 16 6 3 Box
2026-11-03 Malachi Flynn EuroCup Bahcesehir College Istanbul @ ratiopharm ulm 26 12 1 2 Box
2026-10-27 Malachi Flynn EuroCup Bahcesehir College Istanbul vs PAOK Thessaloniki 28 28 2 4 Box
2026-10-23 Kawhi Leonard NBA Toronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards 28 16 9 1 Box
2026-10-21 Kawhi Leonard NBA Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls 24 23 6 2 Box
2026-10-16 Keshad Johnson NBA Preseason Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic 19 8 6 2 Box
2026-10-15 Kawhi Leonard NBA Preseason Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks 23 6 1 1 Box
2026-10-14 Keshad Johnson NBA Preseason Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets 8 8 3 0 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

165 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Davis25% Davis26% Vincini33% Harrington67% Gladden29% Sy67% Davis67% Davis50% Davis100% Davis60%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Harrington25% Simmons32% Harrington33% Simmons67% Harrington57% Harrington50% Sy38% Davis38% Gladden67% Sy50%
Misses: who misses most here

Latrell DavisElzie HarringtonTae SimmonsIsaiah SyChance GladdenLuca Vincini

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 32-40 80.0 64 Latrell Davis 25% (16 pts) Jeremiah Cherry 22% (14 pts) Elzie Harrington 25% (2 misses) Latrell Davis 25% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 23-45 51.1 46 Latrell Davis 26% (12 pts) Chance Gladden 22% (10 pts) Tae Simmons 32% (7 misses) Latrell Davis 18% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 3-9 33.3 6 Luca Vincini 33% (2 pts) Luka Skoric 33% (2 pts) Elzie Harrington 33% (2 misses) David Torresani 17% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 3-6 50.0 6 Elzie Harrington 67% (4 pts) Luka Skoric 33% (2 pts) Tae Simmons 67% (2 misses) Luka Skoric 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 7-14 50.0 14 Chance Gladden 29% (4 pts) Elzie Harrington 29% (4 pts) Elzie Harrington 57% (4 misses) Chance Gladden 14% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 3-5 60.0 9 Isaiah Sy 67% (6 pts) Tae Simmons 33% (3 pts) Elzie Harrington 50% (1 misses) Latrell Davis 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 3-11 27.3 9 Latrell Davis 67% (6 pts) Luka Skoric 33% (3 pts) Isaiah Sy 38% (3 misses) Latrell Davis 25% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 10-18 55.6 30 Latrell Davis 50% (15 pts) Elzie Harrington 30% (9 pts) Latrell Davis 38% (3 misses) Isaiah Sy 25% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-4 25.0 3 Latrell Davis 100% (3 pts) - Chance Gladden 67% (2 misses) Tae Simmons 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-13 38.5 15 Latrell Davis 60% (9 pts) Isaiah Sy 40% (6 pts) Isaiah Sy 50% (4 misses) Latrell Davis 25% (2 misses)