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2026-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—
Margin 94.7% 5.3% -15.8 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 72.1% 27.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.6% 22.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.7% 22.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 67.7% 32.3% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Wizards -10 (102-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 36 12-26 1-6 3-3 14 5 2 2 8 28 17 -
RJ Barrett * 33 9-16 1-5 4-5 9 4 0 1 0 23 21 -
Immanuel Quickley * 29 5-15 0-6 2-3 1 6 0 0 1 12 3 -
Kawhi Leonard * 27 7-20 2-8 0-0 9 1 3 0 4 16 5 -
Jakob Poeltl * 26 2-3 0-0 2-2 9 2 1 1 1 6 15 -
Jamal Shead 24 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 5 0 0 1 5 8 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 23 2-8 2-7 1-2 4 2 2 1 0 7 8 -
Collin Murray-Boyles 17 3-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 3 0 1 8 7 -
Jamison Battle 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
Allen Graves 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Alijah Martin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jaden Bradley 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 36 5-15 4-10 8-10 1 12 1 0 4 22 17 -
Anthony Davis * 32 3-12 0-2 3-4 9 0 1 2 4 9 5 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 26 3-8 1-3 4-4 6 0 0 1 0 11 10 -
Kyshawn George * 26 2-9 1-4 6-7 3 3 2 0 8 11 2 -
Alex Sarr * 24 2-4 1-2 2-2 4 5 2 0 1 7 13 -
Tre Johnson 25 7-14 4-8 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 20 8 -
Justin Champagnie 22 4-7 0-2 0-0 6 0 1 2 0 8 10 -
Khris Middleton 15 1-4 0-2 4-4 2 0 2 0 1 6 5 -
Deandre Ayton 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 4 8 -
Bub Carrington 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Will Riley 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Felix Okpara 0 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Anthony Gill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Reece Beekman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tre Mann 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter