Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +21 (136-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Nikola Jović * | 15 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Bobby Portis Jr. * | 15 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 15 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Conwell | 29 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 23 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Keshad Johnson | 19 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Nick Richards | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 18 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Tre Donaldson | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Gabe Madsen | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kylor Kelley | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Bez Mbeng | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Vladislav Goldin | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 13-16 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 24 | 8-16 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Franz Wagner * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nikola Vučević | 22 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tristan da Silva | 17 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Alex Morales | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Cain | 16 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Malaki Branham | 12 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Knox II | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| JD Davison | 7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jase Richardson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Colin Castleton | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Noah Penda | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter