Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | +14.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +30 (91-61). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Hill * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Ty Proffitt * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Drew Kelly * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Milton Chavis * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Angelo Warner * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Devon Atkinson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Marsell Holden | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Dionte Ferguson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Deandre Mathieu | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kahlil Owens | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lamont Austin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Will Bailey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Percell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wood * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Richard Howell * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 35 | - |
| DeShawn Painter * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Lorenzo Brown * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| C.J. Williams * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Alex Johnson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Tyler Harris | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Vandenberg | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Jaqawn Raymond | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kendall Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Staats Battle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter