Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -14 (65-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown * | 40 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 23 | - |
| C.J. Williams * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C.J. Leslie * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| S. Wood * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| R. Howell * | 28 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| D. Painter | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Johnson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 37 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 7-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| X. Thames * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 36 | 7-18 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Green | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Stephens | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Franklin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter