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2011-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 75.5% 24.5% -
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% -
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% -
Efficiency 75.4% 24.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% -
Log Adjusted 75.9% 24.1% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -7 (79-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Tchiengang * 34 2-4 0-1 2-5 11 1 0 0 1 6 13 -
J. Jenkins * 33 10-16 4-9 4-6 2 0 2 1 2 28 15 -
J. Taylor * 32 5-11 1-4 6-11 8 5 2 0 4 17 17 -
L. Goulbourne * 29 4-5 0-0 7-9 5 1 1 0 0 15 17 -
B. Tinsley * 22 5-8 2-3 2-2 2 4 0 0 3 14 9 -
K. Johnson 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 0 1 -
R. Odom 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
K. Fuller 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
D. Parker 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Henderson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Brown * 36 4-11 1-3 4-6 4 6 4 0 4 13 12 -
T. Harris * 28 3-9 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
C.J. Williams * 26 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 1 4 1 1 7 6 -
R. Howell * 20 8-14 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 16 12 -
D. Painter * 15 3-6 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
A. Johnson 29 2-4 2-4 1-2 1 3 1 0 3 7 5 -
C.J. Leslie 27 7-9 0-0 6-10 5 2 2 0 3 20 17 -
J. Vandenberg 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 2 7 -
J. Raymond 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter