๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% - โœ“
Margin 50.8% 49.2% -0.2 โœ“ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.0% 35.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% - โœ“

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -7 (79-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steve Tchiengang * 34 2-4 0-1 2-5 11 1 0 0 1 6 13 -
John Jenkins * 33 10-16 4-9 4-6 2 0 2 1 2 28 15 -
Jeffery Taylor * 32 5-11 1-4 6-11 8 5 2 0 4 17 17 -
Lance Goulbourne * 29 4-5 0-0 7-9 5 1 1 0 0 15 17 -
Brad Tinsley * 22 5-8 2-3 2-2 2 4 0 0 3 14 9 -
Kedren Johnson 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 0 1 -
Rod Odom 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Kyle Fuller 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
D. Parker 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Josh Henderson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Brown * 36 4-11 1-3 4-6 4 6 4 0 4 13 12 -
T. Harris * 28 3-9 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
C.J. Williams * 26 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 1 4 1 1 7 6 -
R. Howell * 20 8-14 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 16 12 -
D. Painter * 15 3-6 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
A. Johnson 29 2-4 2-4 1-2 1 3 1 0 3 7 5 -
C.J. Leslie 27 7-9 0-0 6-10 5 2 2 0 3 20 17 -
J. Vandenberg 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 2 7 -
J. Raymond 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter