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2011-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% -
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -
Efficiency 40.9% 59.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.7% 44.3% -
Log Adjusted 55.4% 44.6% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lewis * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 10 13 -
A. Wangmene * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 3 6 12 -
J. Brown * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 0 0 1 17 26 -
J. Holmes * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 0 16 26 -
M. Kabongo * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 1 4 -
S. Mac 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 16 18 -
J. Bond 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 6 -
C. Chapman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 6 9 -
S. Gibbs 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Williams * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 7 15 -
D. Painter * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 9 15 -
L. Brown * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 2 1 3 11 20 -
R. Howell * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 8 13 -
T. Harris * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
S. Wood 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 16 17 -
C.J. Leslie 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 2 2 17 24 -
A. Johnson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 5 5 -
J. Vandenberg 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
T. de Thaey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter