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2012-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% +5.1 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +4 (77-73). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenny Kadji * 36 3-14 0-4 1-4 7 3 0 2 1 7 4 -
Durand Scott * 33 3-10 0-2 4-4 11 3 0 0 2 10 12 -
Malcolm Grant * 28 4-12 4-7 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 14 6 -
Reggie Johnson * 18 5-9 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 1 1 10 9 -
Shane Larkin * 18 1-5 0-3 2-2 1 2 3 0 1 4 4 -
Rion Brown 25 4-9 3-6 4-4 4 1 0 0 0 15 11 -
DeQuan Jones 22 4-9 0-2 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
Garrius Adams 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Trey McKinney-Jones 10 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scott Wood * 37 5-12 5-10 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 15 7 -
C.J. Leslie * 35 7-10 1-1 6-11 11 2 1 3 0 21 28 -
Lorenzo Brown * 32 7-12 0-1 2-3 5 5 1 2 3 16 14 -
Richard Howell * 25 5-8 0-0 4-10 9 3 1 0 3 14 16 -
C.J. Williams * 25 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Alex Johnson 28 1-5 1-3 2-2 1 8 0 0 0 5 9 -
DeShawn Painter 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 4 -

* = starter