Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.7% | 95.3% | +19.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +15 (82-67). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Troutman * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Sebastian Koch * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Austin Hamilton * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Drew Spradlin * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ryley Beaumont * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jack Isenbarger | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Brett Ervin | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Blake | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Egheosa Edomwonyi | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Winters | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Roger Dugas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Williams * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Lorenzo Brown * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 30 | - |
| DeShawn Painter * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Richard Howell * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Tyler Harris * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Scott Wood | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| C.J. Leslie | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 27 | - |
| Alex Johnson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Thomas de Thaey | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Jaqawn Raymond | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter