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Miami Heat

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Miami Heat
Program History

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#76) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1097 (#24) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.8 More → +9.7 (#11) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.600 (#8) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.7 More → 0.585 (#8) NetEff +3.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.8 More → 0.756 (#9) AdjNet +9.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.9 More → 0.758 (#9) AdjNet +9.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 115.4 | AdjD 105.1 More → 0.718 (#9) AdjO 115.4 | AdjD 105.1

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-10-23 vs MEM W 120 - 101
2019-10-26 @ MIL W 131 - 126
2019-10-27 @ MIN L 109 - 116
2019-10-29 vs ATL W 112 - 97
2019-10-31 @ ATL W 106 - 97
2019-11-03 vs HOU W 129 - 100
2019-11-06 @ DEN L 89 - 109
2019-11-08 @ PHX W 124 - 108
2019-11-09 @ LAL L 80 - 95
2019-11-13 vs DET W 117 - 108
2019-11-14 @ CLE W 108 - 97
2019-11-17 vs NOP W 109 - 94
2019-11-21 vs CLE W 124 - 100
2019-11-23 @ CHI W 116 - 108
2019-11-24 @ PHI L 86 - 113
2019-11-26 vs CHA W 117 - 100
2019-11-28 @ HOU L 108 - 117
2019-11-30 vs GSW W 122 - 105
2019-12-01 @ BKN W 109 - 106
2019-12-04 @ TOR W 121 - 110
2019-12-04 @ BOS L 93 - 112
2019-12-06 vs WAS W 112 - 103
2019-12-08 vs CHI W 110 - 105
2019-12-11 vs ATL W 135 - 121
2019-12-14 vs LAL L 110 - 113
2019-12-15 @ DAL W 122 - 118
2019-12-17 @ MEM L 111 - 118
2019-12-19 @ PHI W 108 - 104
2019-12-21 vs NYK W 129 - 114
2019-12-24 vs UTA W 107 - 104
2019-12-28 vs IND W 113 - 112
2019-12-29 vs PHI W 117 - 116
2019-12-31 @ WAS L 105 - 123
2020-01-03 vs TOR W 84 - 76
2020-01-04 @ ORL L 85 - 105
2020-01-05 vs POR W 122 - 111
2020-01-09 @ IND W 122 - 108
2020-01-11 @ BKN L 113 - 117
2020-01-12 @ NYK L 121 - 124
2020-01-16 vs SAS W 106 - 100
2020-01-18 @ OKC W 115 - 108
2020-01-19 @ SAS L 102 - 107
2020-01-20 vs SAC W 118 - 113
2020-01-23 vs WAS W 134 - 129
2020-01-24 vs LAC L 117 - 122
2020-01-27 vs ORL W 113 - 92
2020-01-28 vs BOS L 101 - 109
2020-02-01 @ ORL W 102 - 89
2020-02-03 vs PHI W 137 - 106
2020-02-05 @ LAC L 111 - 128
2020-02-07 @ SAC L 97 - 105
2020-02-09 @ POR L 109 - 115
2020-02-10 @ GSW W 113 - 101
2020-02-12 @ UTA L 101 - 116
2020-02-21 @ ATL L 2 - 2
2020-02-22 vs CLE W 124 - 105
2020-02-25 @ CLE L 119 - 125
2020-02-27 vs MIN L 126 - 129
2020-02-29 vs DAL W 31 - 29
2020-03-01 vs BKN W 116 - 113
2020-03-03 vs MIL W 105 - 89
2020-03-05 vs ORL W 116 - 113
2020-03-06 @ NOP L 104 - 110
2020-03-08 @ WAS W 100 - 89
2020-03-11 vs CHA L 98 - 109
2020-08-01 @ DEN W 125 - 105
2020-08-03 vs TOR L 103 - 107
2020-08-04 vs BOS W 112 - 106
2020-08-06 @ MIL L 116 - 130
2020-08-08 vs PHX L 112 - 119
2020-08-10 vs IND W 114 - 92
2020-08-12 @ OKC L 115 - 116
2020-08-14 @ IND L 92 - 109

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jimmy Butler III F 15 30.9 22.3 6.8 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 13.7 22.9 - - - 52.7 32.3 84.5 - 64.0 55.1
Goran Dragic Goran Dragic SG 58 27.3 15.9 3.1 5.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 12.1 12.8 - - - 44.2 36.7 77.4 - 57.1 52.7
Bam Adebayo Bam Adebayo SF 72 32.3 15.4 9.8 5.0 1.1 1.3 0.0 10.6 21.9 - - - 56.1 15.4 68.3 - 59.9 56.3
Kendrick Nunn Kendrick Nunn SG 67 28.3 15.0 2.7 3.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 13.4 8.5 - - - 43.6 34.7 84.7 - 53.1 51.0
Tyler Herro Tyler Herro SG 55 26.9 13.5 4.1 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 11.5 9.1 - - - 42.8 38.9 87.0 - 55.0 52.0
Duncan Robinson Duncan Robinson SG 73 28.4 13.0 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 9.1 9.1 - - - 46.8 44.7 92.8 - 68.4 66.7
Justise Winslow Justise Winslow SF 11 31.5 11.3 6.6 4.0 0.6 0.5 0.0 11.7 11.3 - - - 38.8 22.2 66.7 - 44.0 41.1
Jae Crowder Jae Crowder PF 20 24.8 10.8 5.0 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 7.6 11.6 - - - 48.7 44.5 66.7 - 66.7 66.1
Dion Waiters - 3 13.3 9.3 3.7 1.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 8.7 6.0 - - - 38.5 47.1 0.0 - 53.0 53.8
Derrick Jones Jr. Derrick Jones Jr. SF 58 22.7 8.5 3.9 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 5.9 9.2 - - - 53.1 28.7 76.9 - 62.4 58.5
Kelly Olynyk Kelly Olynyk PF 66 18.8 8.0 4.5 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 5.8 9.3 - - - 45.9 39.7 86.0 - 61.7 57.6
Meyers Leonard Meyers Leonard C 51 19.8 6.1 5.1 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 4.6 8.2 - - - 50.9 41.4 64.3 - 62.7 62.2
James Johnson - 18 15.2 5.7 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.7 0.0 4.8 5.9 - - - 44.8 35.6 57.1 - 54.7 54.0
Solomon Hill Solomon Hill SF 10 16.9 4.6 1.8 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.0 4.2 4.8 - - - 31.0 28.6 87.5 - 46.9 38.1
Andre Iguodala Andre Iguodala - 20 18.4 4.2 3.5 2.5 0.7 0.9 0.0 3.9 7.9 - - - 42.9 32.5 41.7 - 51.0 51.3
Chris Silva Chris Silva - 44 7.4 3.0 2.9 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.0 1.8 5.3 - - - 61.5 0.0 67.3 - 65.1 61.5
Udonis Haslem Udonis Haslem F 4 10.2 3.0 4.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8 4.5 - - - 36.4 33.3 75.0 - 47.0 40.9
Gabe Vincent Gabe Vincent - 9 8.8 2.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.1 0.1 - - - 21.6 22.2 0 - 29.7 29.7
KZ Okpala KZ Okpala - 5 4.8 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 2.2 - - - 60.0 0.0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
Kyle Alexander - 2 6.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Daryl Macon - 4 3.0 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG