Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | β (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | β |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (112-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 38 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 15-26 | 0-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 19 | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 27 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 26 | 7-10 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Dario Ε ariΔ | 21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 37 | 7-15 | 4-12 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 35 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 27 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 27 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 31 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 22 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 19 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter