Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (29.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +31 (137-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Simmons * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 32 | 9-14 | 2-2 | 9-11 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 25 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mike Scott | 18 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz | 16 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 8 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zhaire Smith | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 33 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 7-9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 28 | 14-20 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 37 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 25 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter