Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -13 (89-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 22 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 28 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 22 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 26 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - | |
| James Johnson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 9-20 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 12 | - | |
| Nikola Vučević * | 34 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 33 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - | |
| Khem Birch * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 30 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | |
| Gary Clark | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter