Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (112-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Hachimura * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 39 | 7-17 | 4-10 | 5-6 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dāvis Bertāns | 32 | 7-20 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 23 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chris Chiozza | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 41 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 36 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 8-11 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 29 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 32 | 10-18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 16 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter