Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -5 (117-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landry Shamet * | 43 | 8-15 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 38 | 9-22 | 4-9 | 11-11 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jerome Robinson * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 27 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 20 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Patrick Patterson | 12 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 40 | 8-19 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 29 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 22 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dion Waiters | 17 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 11 | 0-9 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter