Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +19 (124-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedi Osman * | 37 | 6-15 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 33 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 25 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum | 25 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ante Zizic | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 34 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 32 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 27 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 26 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 26 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 25 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 9 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter