Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | β (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | β |
Actual: Utah Jazz +15 (116-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 33 | 10-21 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 13 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 21 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 30 | 6-13 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 26 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 33 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 24 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royce O'Neale * | 38 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 27 | - | |
| Bojan BogdanoviΔ * | 35 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - | |
| Joe Ingles * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 25 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - | |
| Georges Niang | 13 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Emmanuel Mudiay | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
* = starter