Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +17 (128-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 39 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 26 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 35 | 5-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 31 | 10-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 28 | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 31 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 17 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Chris Silva | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 30 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - | |
| Paul George * | 25 | 7-13 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 26 | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 24 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 21 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 32 | 7-15 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - | |
| Lou Williams | 28 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 7-9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 19 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Jerome Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Johnathan Motley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter