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Duke

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History
Coach: Mike Krzyzewski

2012 Team Stats (26 games)

78.8
PPG
69.2
Opp
+9.6
Margin
45.9%
FG%
36.6%
3P%
69.1%
FT%
38.1
RPG
13.1
APG
11.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
78.0
Adj PPG
63.6
Adj Opp PPG
#14
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1364 (#19) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1330 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1099 (#53) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +15.5 (#14) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +10.4 (#39) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.796 (#37) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.7 More → 0.939 (#18) AdjNet +23.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.9 More → 0.940 (#18) AdjNet +23.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 63.6 More → 0.788 (#14) AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 63.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 65.1 More → 0.650 (#45) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 65.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.822 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.801 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 34 More → 1274 (#23) RD 113 | GP 34

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Belmont Bruins W 77 - 76
2011-11-12 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 96 - 55
2011-11-15 @ Michigan State Spartans W 74 - 69
2011-11-18 vs Davidson Wildcats W 82 - 69
2011-11-21 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 77 - 67
2011-11-22 vs Michigan Wolverines W 82 - 75
2011-11-23 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 68 - 61
2011-11-29 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 63 - 85
2011-12-07 vs Colorado State Rams W 87 - 64
2011-12-10 vs Washington Huskies W 86 - 80
2011-12-19 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 90 - 63
2011-12-30 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 110 - 70
2012-01-01 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 85 - 55
2012-01-04 @ Temple Owls L 73 - 78
2012-01-07 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 81 - 74
2012-01-12 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 61 - 58
2012-01-15 @ Clemson Tigers W 73 - 66
2012-01-19 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 91 - 73
2012-01-21 vs Florida State Seminoles L 73 - 76
2012-01-25 @ Maryland Terrapins W 74 - 61
2012-01-28 vs St. John's Red Storm W 83 - 76
2012-02-02 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 75 - 60
2012-02-05 vs Miami Hurricanes L 74 - 78
2012-02-08 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 85 - 84
2012-02-11 vs Maryland Terrapins W 73 - 55
2012-02-16 vs NC State Wolfpack W 78 - 73
2012-02-19 @ Boston College Eagles W 75 - 50
2012-02-23 @ Florida State Seminoles W 74 - 66
2012-02-25 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 70 - 65
2012-02-28 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 79 - 71
2012-03-03 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 70 - 88
2012-03-09 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 60 - 56
2012-03-10 vs Florida State Seminoles L 59 - 62
2012-03-16 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 70 - 75

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Austin Rivers Austin Rivers G 34 33.2 15.5 3.4 2.1 1.0 0.0 2.3 10.1 9.6 259 29 8.9 12.0 44.7 38.0 65.0 4.31 64.1 52.3
Seth Curry Seth Curry G 34 30.2 13.2 2.6 2.4 1.3 0.2 2.0 8.6 9.1 184 29 6.3 9.3 42.5 38.7 85.7 1.14 67.6 51.9
Ryan Kelly Ryan Kelly F 31 25.9 11.8 5.4 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.4 6.8 11.9 206 26 7.9 13.6 43.9 40.2 79.4 3.47 68.6 51.7
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 34 28.4 11.1 9.2 1.6 0.8 1.6 2.2 6.5 15.6 119 29 4.1 6.5 57.7 0 49.7 -1.38 66.5 57.7
Andre Dawkins Andre Dawkins G 34 22.4 8.4 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.8 5.8 4.9 123 29 4.2 8.5 39.8 38.5 71.4 -0.78 66.4 54.3
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 34 20.5 6.6 7.1 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 3.9 10.7 194 29 6.7 14.8 62.6 0 64.6 4.51 70.8 62.6
Quinn Cook Quinn Cook G 33 11.7 4.4 1.0 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.5 3.2 4.1 95 28 3.4 13.9 40.2 25.9 77.1 0.46 57.0 46.7
Tyler Thornton Tyler Thornton G 34 21.1 4.1 1.9 2.0 0.9 0.0 1.0 2.3 5.6 154 29 5.3 11.2 40.3 38.2 77.5 1.92 72.9 53.9
Josh Hairston Josh Hairston F 29 8.5 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.1 2.0 39 24 1.6 8.5 45.0 0.0 66.7 -0.94 55.3 45.0
Michael Gbinije Michael Gbinije F 19 5.8 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 10 15 0.7 5.2 55.0 40.0 100.0 -3.33 71.5 65.0
Todd Zafirovski Todd Zafirovski F 5 2.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -2.06 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG