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Dayton

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Dayton Flyers, Dayton
Program History
Coach: Anthony Grant

2026 Team Stats (36 games)

74.2
PPG
68.8
Opp
+5.4
Margin
44.7%
FG%
34.0%
3P%
75.4%
FT%
33.1
RPG
14.3
APG
11.6
TO
76.0
Pace
76.2
AdjO
67.0
AdjD
#77
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1185 (#49) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1219 (#42) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1126 (#36) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +9.0 (#81) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +23.2 (#66) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.685 (#77) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.7 More → 0.371 (#204) NetEff -4.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.9 More → 0.815 (#71) AdjNet +12.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.0 More → 0.817 (#71) AdjNet +13.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 67.0 More → 0.698 (#77) AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 67.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 63.7 More → 0.684 (#49) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 63.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.902 (#51) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.881 (#47) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 36 More → 1276 (#37) RD 96 | GP 36

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 88 - 48
2025-11-08 vs UMBC Retrievers W 77 - 71
2025-11-11 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 62 - 74
2025-11-15 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 91 - 82
2025-11-19 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 77 - 71
2025-11-22 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 74 - 55
2025-11-27 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 84 - 79
2025-11-28 vs BYU Cougars L 79 - 83
2025-12-02 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 88 - 71
2025-12-13 vs North Florida Ospreys W 84 - 61
2025-12-16 vs Florida State Seminoles W 97 - 69
2025-12-20 vs Liberty Flames L 61 - 64
2025-12-31 vs Fordham Rams W 63 - 56
2026-01-03 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 70 - 68
2026-01-06 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 79 - 72
2026-01-13 @ Duquesne Dukes W 71 - 65
2026-01-16 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 78 - 51
2026-01-21 @ La Salle Explorers L 64 - 67
2026-01-24 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 74 - 81
2026-01-27 vs Rhode Island Rams L 76 - 81
2026-01-30 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 71 - 102
2026-02-03 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 72 - 70
2026-02-06 @ VCU Rams L 73 - 99
2026-02-15 vs Davidson Wildcats W 70 - 59
2026-02-18 @ George Mason Patriots W 82 - 67
2026-02-21 vs Duquesne Dukes W 78 - 66
2026-02-24 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 77 - 62
2026-02-27 @ George Washington Revolutionaries W 68 - 66
2026-03-03 @ Richmond Spiders W 65 - 60
2026-03-06 vs VCU Rams L 62 - 68
2026-03-13 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 68 - 63
2026-03-14 @ Saint Louis Billikens W 70 - 69
2026-03-15 @ VCU Rams L 62 - 70
2026-03-18 @ Bradley Braves W 80 - 66
2026-03-21 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 80 - 61
2026-03-25 vs Illinois State Redbirds L 55 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Bennett J. Bennett G 36 34.4 15.8 2.2 2.9 1.4 0.1 1.4 12.5 8.6 108 4.5 7.6 39.6 34.8 89.8 -0.17 55.7 49.4
D. Montgomery D. Montgomery - 35 30.6 13.4 4.0 2.1 2.1 0.6 1.9 10.1 10.2 110 5.0 6.7 49.3 34.4 79.3 0.88 59.9 56.7
A. L'Etang A. L'Etang F 32 25.7 12.1 6.0 1.6 0.4 1.3 2.1 8.1 11.3 57 3.2 5.8 49.2 36.2 76.2 0.26 61.4 55.8
J. Derkack J. Derkack - 31 24.7 9.2 4.9 2.6 1.2 0.1 1.6 5.8 10.5 73 4.3 7.3 37.0 29.1 71.8 0.7 54.0 41.4
K. Jones K. Jones - 36 30.4 7.8 5.4 2.2 1.5 0.8 1.4 5.5 10.8 29 1.4 6.0 51.3 31.7 64.0 0.08 57.8 54.5
B. Heard B. Heard G 35 18.5 6.5 2.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.8 4.5 4.8 31 1.4 3.1 43.9 36.8 78.6 0.07 59.0 51.9
J. Simon J. Simon F 35 18.3 5.5 3.3 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.9 3.4 6.7 31 1.4 4.0 47.5 36.4 80.5 0.23 62.1 52.5
Malcolm Thomas Malcolm Thomas - 25 8.6 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.8 2.8 3.1 26 1.6 6.4 50.7 31.2 57.1 0.4 56.6 54.3
J. Conner J. Conner F 35 17.0 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.6 2.8 4.2 37 1.7 3.6 40.4 29.7 63.0 0.35 52.3 50.0
Damon Friery Damon Friery - 16 5.6 1.8 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.7 1.6 -7 -0.7 -6.1 33.3 35.3 50.0 -0.12 46.2 44.4
S. Pouedet S. Pouedet G 14 5.4 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 - - - 33.3 25.0 100.0 0.06 45.5 38.9
E. Dickey E. Dickey G 4 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 -4 -1.0 -24.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.1 53.2 0.0
M. Grant M. Grant G 7 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 -6 -2.0 -54.8 25.0 33.3 0 -0.13 37.5 37.5
Jaron McKie Jaron McKie G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
W. Maxwell W. Maxwell G 5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 -2 -1.0 -45.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.13 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG