Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bennett | 32 | 7-11 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| A. L'Etang | 32 | 9-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| J. Derkack | 28 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Simon | 28 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| D. Montgomery | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Jones | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Heard | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Thomas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Pouedet | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Conner | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Grant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Maxwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Friery | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Long | 38 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| F. Hill | 28 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| K. Mincy | 27 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| R. Allenspach | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Adebayo | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Presley | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Troutman | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| E. Kanga | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| N. Ellington | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter