Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +17 (88-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Taylor II * | 40 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| B. Barkley * | 34 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | -8.0 |
| C. Morris III * | 24 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 19 | +4.7 |
| A. Strothers * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | -17.9 |
| J. McCullum * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.4 |
| J. Smith | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -4 | -14.7 |
| M. Johnson | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.9 |
| B. Crump | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -19.5 |
| M. Matthews | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
| G. Sisk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jones * | 36 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 21 | +18.7 |
| D. Montgomery * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 22 | +28.0 |
| J. Bennett * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +14.9 |
| A. L'Etang * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +17.9 |
| J. Derkack * | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 24 | +26.5 |
| J. Conner | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -12.8 |
| B. Heard | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -9.9 |
| J. Simon | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -0.0 |
| M. Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter