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2026-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% -
Bradley-Terry 21.5% 78.5% -
Margin 21.7% 78.3% +7.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.0% 76.0% -
Log Adjusted 23.8% 76.2% -
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Friedrichsen 33 7-12 5-6 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 21 13 -
D. Brown 32 3-6 0-0 2-5 3 1 2 0 3 8 5 -
J. Scovens 29 6-11 1-1 2-2 2 1 3 2 0 15 12 -
R. Blums 25 3-10 2-9 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 9 -1 -
S. Logan 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 1 2 5 -
S. Brown 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 0 -
N. Coval 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Roberts 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 0 5 -
H. Adam 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
I. Platteeuw 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 -
R. Greer 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bennett 38 2-11 1-7 4-4 3 4 3 0 4 9 4 -
J. Simon 32 4-6 0-0 3-3 13 4 2 0 1 11 23 -
K. Jones 31 2-3 1-1 1-2 4 6 0 1 1 6 13 -
A. L'Etang 30 4-8 1-3 3-4 1 0 1 1 3 12 4 -
D. Montgomery 29 5-10 2-4 1-2 4 0 1 1 4 13 5 -
J. Derkack 22 3-5 0-0 3-3 4 2 0 0 0 9 10 -
B. Heard 16 2-5 0-0 6-6 7 0 0 0 1 10 11 -
S. Pouedet 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter