Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Friedrichsen | 33 | 7-12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| D. Brown | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Scovens | 29 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| R. Blums | 25 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | - |
| S. Logan | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Brown | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Coval | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Roberts | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| H. Adam | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. Platteeuw | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Greer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bennett | 38 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Simon | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 23 | - |
| K. Jones | 31 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| A. L'Etang | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| D. Montgomery | 29 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. Derkack | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| B. Heard | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Pouedet | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter