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2026-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers George Washington Revolutionaries Spread Result
Elo 60.9% 39.1% -
Bradley-Terry 60.7% 39.3% -
Margin 40.6% 59.4% +2.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% -
Log Adjusted 53.7% 46.3% -
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% -

Actual: George Washington Revolutionaries -2 (66-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bennett 36 8-13 6-9 3-4 1 4 0 0 1 25 16 -
J. Simon 33 3-4 0-0 3-3 4 2 3 0 3 9 11 -
A. L'Etang 30 2-7 0-2 6-6 4 2 3 0 2 10 10 -
D. Montgomery 29 4-8 2-6 1-2 3 2 3 0 2 11 9 -
K. Jones 26 1-2 1-2 1-2 2 3 3 2 3 4 9 -
J. Derkack 19 0-2 0-1 3-4 2 2 1 0 3 3 3 -
B. Heard 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 3 3 -
J. Conner 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
D. Friery 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

George Washington Revolutionaries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Autry 36 3-8 3-8 6-7 7 1 0 0 2 15 13 -
R. Castro 35 7-12 0-0 2-10 6 2 1 1 3 16 11 -
J. Aranguren 35 4-9 1-4 3-3 6 5 4 0 1 12 17 -
L. Hunger 24 1-4 0-1 4-4 6 2 1 0 5 6 6 -
T. Marshall Jr. 23 5-7 2-2 0-2 4 0 1 2 2 12 10 -
C. Jones 22 1-4 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 3 -1 -
G. Johnson 13 1-3 0-2 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
B. Benjamin 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Dinkins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter