Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.0% | 31.0% | -4.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jones | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| J. Bennett | 32 | 1-9 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| A. L'Etang | 31 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Montgomery | 29 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Derkack | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Simon | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Conner | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Heard | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Lopez | 31 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| M. Walz | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| W. Johnston | 29 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| A. Argabright | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| C. Tanner | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Tyne | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Daughtry | 13 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Thomas | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Roumoglou | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Robinson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter