Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.7% | 34.3% | -3.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves -14 (66-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bennett | 35 | 8-13 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - |
| A. L'Etang | 32 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Montgomery | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Derkack | 27 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| K. Jones | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Conner | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Simon | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Heard | 14 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Thomas | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Pouedet | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Friery | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Huibregtse | 31 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| AJ Smith | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Wheeler | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 25 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Jonovic | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. van der Knaap | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Yu | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Thomas | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Richardson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Zobrist | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Rugaard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter