Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 82.8% | 17.2% | -8.6 | β (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | β |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Saunders * | 38 | 9-15 | 6-10 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 25 | +4.1 |
| R. Wright III * | 35 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +6.9 |
| AJ Dybantsa * | 34 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +14.1 |
| K. Davis Jr. * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +3.7 |
| K. Keita * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | -8.6 |
| K. Mboup | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +13.2 |
| T. Mrus | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.4 |
| D. Diomande | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
| A. KostiΔ | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bennett * | 34 | 7-16 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | +1.1 |
| K. Jones * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +6.7 |
| A. L'Etang * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +12.0 |
| D. Montgomery * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | -4.2 |
| J. Derkack * | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -2.6 |
| B. Heard | 23 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +6.1 |
| J. Conner | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.9 |
| M. Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -14.5 |
| J. Simon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
* = starter