Model Predictions
| Model | George Washington Revolutionaries | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Washington Revolutionaries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dinkins | 33 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | +5.1 |
| R. Castro | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | +0.3 |
| T. Marshall Jr. | 27 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | +2.5 |
| C. Jones | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Autry | 25 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -1.7 |
| G. Johnson | 23 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | -4.9 |
| B. Benjamin | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.3 |
| L. Hunger | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.1 |
| J. Aranguren | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bennett | 38 | 4-20 | 3-9 | 9-10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +0.2 |
| K. Jones | 34 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | +4.1 |
| D. Montgomery | 33 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +1.2 |
| J. Simon | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | -4.9 |
| J. Derkack | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | -5.7 |
| J. Conner | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -0.5 |
| B. Heard | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +5.6 |
| S. Pouedet | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter