Model Predictions
| Model | Fordham Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.4% | 87.6% | +10.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +7 (63-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reaves | 38 | 7-17 | 1-8 | 3-6 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | +2.3 |
| M. Greene | 35 | 3-13 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +1.8 |
| R. Schulte | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -4.2 |
| J. Whitbourn | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | -11.4 |
| A. Jacobs | 29 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +1.0 |
| L. Lesmond | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | -10.6 |
| R. Akhuar | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -0.0 |
| K. Price | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.5 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bennett | 36 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +7.8 |
| K. Jones | 35 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | +7.5 |
| J. Derkack | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 20 | +0.8 |
| J. Conner | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +6.9 |
| D. Montgomery | 25 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +8.3 |
| J. Simon | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -0.8 |
| B. Heard | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2.8 |
| S. Pouedet | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Friery | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter