Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.6% | 24.4% | -6.2 | ✗ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +15 (77-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sharma | 30 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Thames | 28 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Q. Jones | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Avila | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Brown | 22 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| A. McCottry | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Green | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| B. Dunlap | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| P. Otieno | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bennett | 38 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| D. Montgomery | 32 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Simon | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. L'Etang | 30 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 12-15 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 29 | - |
| K. Jones | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Derkack | 24 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Conner | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter