Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +27 (78-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Reese | 32 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -33.1 |
| K. Houinsou | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -22.0 |
| N. Anderson | 30 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -13.5 |
| M. Rubin | 28 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 7 | -15.7 |
| D. Tavarez | 28 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -3.3 |
| J. Ola-Joseph | 28 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | -5.3 |
| D. Glazkov | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +1.9 |
| B. Young | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.3 |
| Z. Royster | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| S. Yurasek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bennett | 35 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +23.6 |
| K. Jones | 34 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +19.5 |
| B. Heard | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +33.3 |
| D. Montgomery | 29 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +24.0 |
| J. Simon | 26 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | +25.8 |
| J. Conner | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10.2 |
| A. L'Etang | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5.3 |
| S. Pouedet | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Friery | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +2.8 |
* = starter