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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Bethune-Cookman Wildcats Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 14.0% 86.0% -
Margin 2.9% 97.1% +19.4 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.3% 66.7% -
Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 13.2% 86.8% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +9 (91-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Heady * 37 7-14 1-4 2-3 6 3 2 0 1 17 13 +4.0
Q. Heady * 32 5-9 0-1 2-4 5 1 3 0 0 12 12 -
J. Johnson * 20 2-8 1-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 -2 -4.2
D. Rouzan * 20 3-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 6 4 -18.1
S. Willoughby * 18 3-5 2-3 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 10 5 -1.5
A. Morris 33 8-17 1-4 2-5 3 3 1 1 5 19 5 -2.6
A. Bland 24 3-4 0-0 1-1 5 2 1 1 0 7 12 -
R. Mitchell Jr. 13 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
D. Onanina 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -7.3

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bennett * 37 7-13 4-7 7-7 5 5 1 1 3 25 21 +5.3
K. Jones * 36 2-5 1-1 6-8 8 3 0 0 2 11 15 +8.9
D. Montgomery * 34 6-10 4-5 0-1 4 2 1 0 1 16 12 +6.3
A. L'Etang * 33 7-9 2-3 2-3 10 3 1 2 1 18 24 +10.7
J. Derkack * 30 3-5 0-0 4-5 2 6 0 0 5 10 8 +10.7
B. Heard 13 1-6 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -8.6
J. Conner 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -8.3
J. Simon 7 0-0 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 1 0 4 7 -8.3

* = starter