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2025-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Points Off/Def 42.9% 57.1% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Porter 38 5-8 3-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 13 8 +9.5
Z. Cleveland 37 5-9 0-0 2-6 16 7 2 3 3 12 28 +10.4
K. Metheny 35 7-14 2-5 0-1 2 2 0 0 1 16 5 +1.3
J. Harper 34 1-5 0-1 2-2 1 2 3 1 0 4 6 +4.8
B. Decker Jr. 27 6-12 3-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 15 5 +4.2
J. Smith 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 2 +2.4
Z. Carter 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 +7.5
Z. Yates 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9
R. Jones Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bennett 34 5-14 3-8 4-4 5 1 1 0 0 17 10 -11.5
K. Jones 33 3-7 0-1 3-5 15 4 2 0 2 9 21 -14.5
A. L'Etang 28 7-15 4-8 1-2 5 1 0 1 3 19 8 -5.2
D. Montgomery 25 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -4 -10.5
B. Heard 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 +4.7
J. Derkack 20 1-4 0-2 4-4 2 4 0 0 1 6 7 -13.7
J. Conner 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 5 +12.8
S. Pouedet 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Simon 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2.2
M. Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.8

* = starter