Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bowen | 39 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 5 | - |
| F. Mitchell | 38 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| D. Egbuniwe | 37 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| D. Simmons II | 37 | 7-17 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 2 | - |
| C. Charles | 34 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Grahovac | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Osasuyi | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Lonati | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bennett | 35 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| K. Jones | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. L'Etang | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| D. Montgomery | 30 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Conner | 26 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Derkack | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 12-15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| B. Heard | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Thomas | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Pouedet | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter