Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens -1 (69-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. L'Etang | 37 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Bennett | 36 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Derkack | 27 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 12-15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 24 | - |
| D. Montgomery | 25 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| B. Heard | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Jones | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Simon | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Conner | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Avila | 34 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Q. Jones | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. McCottry | 29 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 15 | - |
| I. Sharma | 26 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Brown | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Green | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Thames | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Dunlap | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Otieno | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter