VCU
2026 Team Stats (35 games)
80.9
PPG
71.5
Opp
+9.4
Margin
45.9%
FG%
36.6%
3P%
73.3%
FT%
36.5
RPG
13.9
APG
10.5
TO
79.6
Pace
83.4
AdjO
70.1
AdjD
#49
Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1362 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1270 (#27) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1228 (#4) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.1 (#50) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +26.4 (#41) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.797 (#32) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.890 (#50) | NetEff +17.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.879 (#53) | AdjNet +17.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.880 (#53) | AdjNet +17.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.770 (#49) | AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 70.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.721 (#33) | AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 67.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.935 (#26) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.918 (#25) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1392 (#9) | RD 106 | GP 35 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Terrence Hill Jr.
|
G | 35 | 25.3 | 15.1 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 10.4 | 9.8 | 111 | 5.0 | 9.9 | 46.6 | 36.7 | 84.1 | 0.79 | 62.6 | 57.4 |
L. Djokovic
|
- | 34 | 27.5 | 13.2 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 7.7 | 12.1 | 114 | 5.4 | 9.0 | 50.8 | 35.5 | 78.6 | 1.28 | 63.8 | 55.0 |
J. Tracey
|
- | 35 | 21.7 | 9.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 7.9 | 5.5 | 47 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 41.4 | 36.7 | 66.7 | -0.16 | 54.5 | 52.5 |
Nyk Lewis
|
- | 34 | 23.6 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.1 | 8.8 | 101 | 4.6 | 9.4 | 40.6 | 35.8 | 75.2 | 0.86 | 57.3 | 51.0 |
B. Jennings
|
G | 35 | 24.7 | 8.4 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 9.0 | 120 | 5.5 | 10.2 | 44.2 | 44.6 | 84.2 | 1.14 | 58.2 | 50.2 |
B. Evans
|
F | 35 | 26.4 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 7.9 | 110 | 5.0 | 8.4 | 45.0 | 32.1 | 54.3 | 0.47 | 51.4 | 50.7 |
Michael Belle
|
F | 35 | 22.3 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5.4 | 8.3 | 150 | 6.8 | 14.1 | 53.2 | 48.7 | 50.0 | 1.61 | 58.0 | 58.2 |
T. Ward
|
- | 30 | 14.1 | 5.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 38 | 2.2 | 8.4 | 45.5 | 31.1 | 63.8 | 0.34 | 55.8 | 52.6 |
Ahmad Nowell
|
- | 28 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 59 | 3.0 | 12.1 | 44.7 | 41.4 | 75.0 | 0.46 | 63.0 | 58.8 |
Jordan Tillery
|
- | 12 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 54 | 6.0 | 31.7 | 59.4 | 57.1 | 62.5 | 0.59 | 66.6 | 65.6 |
K. Mitchell
|
F | 19 | 10.7 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 15 | 3.0 | 153.8 | 43.2 | 22.7 | 65.6 | 0.05 | 55.1 | 48.9 |
Jordann Dumont
|
- | 9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.03 | 40.5 | 33.3 |
C. Fermin
|
F | 4 | 12.8 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 30.0 | - | 27.8 | 0.0 |
O. Okafor
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG