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VCU

Also known as: VCU Rams, VCU
Program History

2026 Team Stats (35 games)

80.9
PPG
71.5
Opp
+9.4
Margin
45.9%
FG%
36.6%
3P%
73.3%
FT%
36.5
RPG
13.9
APG
10.5
TO
79.6
Pace
83.4
AdjO
70.1
AdjD
#49
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1362 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1270 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1228 (#4) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +13.1 (#50) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +26.4 (#41) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.797 (#32) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +17.5 More → 0.890 (#50) NetEff +17.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.2 More → 0.879 (#53) AdjNet +17.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.3 More → 0.880 (#53) AdjNet +17.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.770 (#49) AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 70.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 67.9 More → 0.721 (#33) AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 67.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.935 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.918 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 35 More → 1392 (#9) RD 106 | GP 35

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Wagner Seahawks W 103 - 74
2025-11-07 @ Utah State Aggies L 77 - 80
2025-11-12 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 78 - 61
2025-11-17 @ NC State Wolfpack L 79 - 85
2025-11-22 vs Coppin State Eagles W 101 - 58
2025-11-26 vs South Florida Bulls W 78 - 66
2025-11-27 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 74 - 89
2025-11-28 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 86 - 68
2025-12-05 vs Samford Bulldogs W 83 - 57
2025-12-15 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 84 - 58
2025-12-18 vs American University Eagles W 105 - 83
2025-12-22 vs Rider Broncs W 100 - 79
2025-12-31 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 89 - 82
2026-01-03 @ Duquesne Dukes W 93 - 80
2026-01-07 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 62 - 71
2026-01-10 @ George Mason Patriots L 80 - 86
2026-01-14 @ Rhode Island Rams W 84 - 75
2026-01-19 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 79 - 72
2026-01-24 @ Davidson Wildcats W 75 - 69
2026-01-27 vs Richmond Spiders W 77 - 69
2026-01-30 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 89 - 75
2026-02-03 @ Fordham Rams W 63 - 59
2026-02-06 vs Dayton Flyers W 99 - 73
2026-02-11 @ La Salle Explorers W 77 - 68
2026-02-14 @ Richmond Spiders W 78 - 67
2026-02-17 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 89 - 75
2026-02-20 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 75 - 88
2026-02-28 vs Fordham Rams W 82 - 63
2026-03-03 vs George Mason Patriots W 70 - 65
2026-03-06 @ Dayton Flyers W 68 - 62
2026-03-13 vs Duquesne Dukes W 71 - 66
2026-03-14 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 77 - 64
2026-03-15 vs Dayton Flyers W 70 - 62
2026-03-19 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 82 - 78
2026-03-21 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 55 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Terrence Hill Jr. Terrence Hill Jr. G 35 25.3 15.1 2.7 2.9 0.6 0.1 1.1 10.4 9.8 111 5.0 9.9 46.6 36.7 84.1 0.79 62.6 57.4
L. Djokovic L. Djokovic - 34 27.5 13.2 5.2 1.1 0.5 1.2 1.4 7.7 12.1 114 5.4 9.0 50.8 35.5 78.6 1.28 63.8 55.0
J. Tracey J. Tracey - 35 21.7 9.5 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.4 1.8 7.9 5.5 47 2.1 4.4 41.4 36.7 66.7 -0.16 54.5 52.5
Nyk Lewis Nyk Lewis - 34 23.6 8.5 4.5 1.6 1.1 0.0 1.0 6.1 8.8 101 4.6 9.4 40.6 35.8 75.2 0.86 57.3 51.0
B. Jennings B. Jennings G 35 24.7 8.4 3.5 2.0 1.6 0.8 1.3 5.9 9.0 120 5.5 10.2 44.2 44.6 84.2 1.14 58.2 50.2
B. Evans B. Evans F 35 26.4 7.2 4.8 2.2 0.9 0.5 1.1 6.5 7.9 110 5.0 8.4 45.0 32.1 54.3 0.47 51.4 50.7
Michael Belle Michael Belle F 35 22.3 7.2 4.9 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.9 5.4 8.3 150 6.8 14.1 53.2 48.7 50.0 1.61 58.0 58.2
T. Ward T. Ward - 30 14.1 5.9 2.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.9 4.5 4.1 38 2.2 8.4 45.5 31.1 63.8 0.34 55.8 52.6
Ahmad Nowell Ahmad Nowell - 28 10.5 4.5 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 3.0 3.4 59 3.0 12.1 44.7 41.4 75.0 0.46 63.0 58.8
Jordan Tillery Jordan Tillery - 12 6.7 4.3 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 2.7 3.8 54 6.0 31.7 59.4 57.1 62.5 0.59 66.6 65.6
K. Mitchell K. Mitchell F 19 10.7 3.4 2.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.4 2.3 4.3 15 3.0 153.8 43.2 22.7 65.6 0.05 55.1 48.9
Jordann Dumont Jordann Dumont - 9 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 1 0.2 3.1 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.03 40.5 33.3
C. Fermin C. Fermin F 4 12.8 0.8 2.5 0.8 0.2 1.5 0.0 0.2 5.5 - - - 0.0 0 30.0 - 27.8 0.0
O. Okafor O. Okafor F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG