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Toronto Raptors

Also known as: Toronto Raptors
Program History

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1069 (#23) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1065 (#57) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.8 More → +9.1 (#14) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.653 (#6) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.1 More → 0.660 (#3) NetEff +7.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.9 More → 0.798 (#6) AdjNet +11.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.0 More → 0.800 (#6) AdjNet +12.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 116.6 | AdjD 103.8 More → 0.761 (#6) AdjO 116.6 | AdjD 103.8

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-10-23 vs NOP W 130 - 122
2019-10-25 @ BOS L 106 - 112
2019-10-27 @ CHI W 108 - 84
2019-10-28 vs ORL W 104 - 95
2019-10-30 vs DET W 125 - 113
2019-11-03 @ MIL L 105 - 115
2019-11-07 vs SAC W 124 - 120
2019-11-09 @ NOP W 122 - 104
2019-11-11 @ LAL W 113 - 104
2019-11-12 @ LAC L 88 - 98
2019-11-14 @ POR W 114 - 106
2019-11-17 @ DAL L 102 - 110
2019-11-19 vs CHA W 132 - 96
2019-11-21 vs ORL W 113 - 97
2019-11-24 @ ATL W 119 - 116
2019-11-26 vs PHI W 101 - 96
2019-11-28 vs NYK W 126 - 98
2019-11-30 @ ORL W 90 - 83
2019-12-01 vs UTA W 130 - 110
2019-12-04 vs MIA L 110 - 121
2019-12-05 vs HOU L 109 - 119
2019-12-08 @ PHI L 104 - 110
2019-12-10 @ CHI W 93 - 92
2019-12-12 vs LAC L 92 - 112
2019-12-15 vs BKN W 110 - 102
2019-12-17 vs CLE W 133 - 113
2019-12-19 @ DET W 112 - 99
2019-12-21 vs WAS W 122 - 118
2019-12-22 vs DAL W 110 - 107
2019-12-24 @ IND L 115 - 120
2019-12-25 vs BOS L 102 - 118
2019-12-29 @ BOS W 113 - 97
2019-12-29 vs OKC L 97 - 98
2020-01-01 vs CLE W 117 - 97
2020-01-03 @ MIA L 76 - 84
2020-01-04 @ BKN W 121 - 102
2020-01-08 vs POR L 99 - 101
2020-01-09 @ CHA W 112 - 110
2020-01-12 vs SAS L 104 - 105
2020-01-16 @ OKC W 130 - 121
2020-01-18 vs WAS W 140 - 111
2020-01-19 @ MIN W 122 - 112
2020-01-20 @ ATL W 122 - 117
2020-01-23 vs PHI W 107 - 95
2020-01-24 @ NYK W 118 - 112
2020-01-26 @ SAS W 110 - 106
2020-01-28 vs ATL W 130 - 114
2020-01-30 @ CLE W 115 - 109
2020-02-01 @ DET W 105 - 92
2020-02-02 vs CHI W 129 - 102
2020-02-05 vs IND W 119 - 118
2020-02-07 @ IND W 115 - 106
2020-02-08 vs BKN W 119 - 118
2020-02-10 vs MIN W 137 - 126
2020-02-12 @ BKN L 91 - 101
2020-02-21 vs PHX W 118 - 101
2020-02-23 vs IND W 127 - 81
2020-02-25 vs MIL L 97 - 108
2020-02-29 vs CHA L 39 - 52
2020-03-01 @ DEN L 118 - 133
2020-03-03 @ PHX W 123 - 114
2020-03-05 @ GSW W 121 - 113
2020-03-09 @ SAC W 118 - 113
2020-03-10 @ UTA W 101 - 92
2020-08-01 vs LAL W 107 - 92
2020-08-03 @ MIA W 107 - 103
2020-08-05 @ ORL W 109 - 99
2020-08-07 vs BOS L 100 - 122
2020-08-09 vs MEM W 108 - 99
2020-08-10 @ MIL W 114 - 106
2020-08-12 @ PHI W 125 - 121
2020-08-14 vs DEN W 117 - 109

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Pascal Siakam Pascal Siakam SF 60 34.3 22.6 7.3 3.4 1.0 0.9 0.0 18.2 16.9 - - - 45.2 36.0 79.5 - 55.3 51.1
Kyle Lowry Kyle Lowry SG 58 35.2 19.2 4.9 7.4 1.4 0.4 0.0 13.7 19.7 - - - 41.6 35.2 86.1 - 59.0 51.7
Fred VanVleet Fred VanVleet SG 54 35.3 17.6 3.8 6.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 14.3 15.9 - - - 41.3 39.0 84.8 - 55.3 50.7
Norman Powell Norman Powell SG 52 27.5 15.8 3.7 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 11.3 11.3 - - - 49.7 40.4 85.2 - 62.7 58.8
Serge Ibaka Serge Ibaka PF 55 26.4 15.4 8.2 1.4 0.5 0.8 0.0 12.2 14.1 - - - 51.2 38.5 71.8 - 58.3 56.4
OG Anunoby OG Anunoby SG 69 29.1 10.5 5.2 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.0 8.1 11.1 - - - 50.6 39.2 70.1 - 60.0 58.6
Marc Gasol Marc Gasol C 44 25.9 7.5 6.2 3.3 0.8 0.9 0.0 6.3 12.4 - - - 42.7 38.5 73.5 - 55.1 52.9
Terence Davis Terence Davis SG 72 16.2 7.5 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 6.0 7.1 - - - 45.7 39.0 86.4 - 58.9 56.6
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson Rondae Hollis-Jefferson PF 60 18.0 6.9 4.7 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.0 5.4 9.1 - - - 47.2 13.0 73.4 - 53.5 47.7
Chris Boucher Chris Boucher - 62 12.5 6.6 4.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 0.0 4.8 8.0 - - - 47.0 32.5 78.4 - 58.6 53.4
Matt Thomas Matt Thomas G 41 10.2 4.9 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.7 3.5 - - - 48.7 47.5 72.7 - 64.9 64.3
Patrick McCaw Patrick McCaw SG 37 23.8 4.6 2.2 2.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.3 5.8 - - - 41.9 32.4 72.2 - 50.6 49.1
Paul Watson - 8 8.2 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 4.5 - - - 52.6 44.4 77.8 - 67.5 63.2
Stanley Johnson Stanley Johnson - 25 5.4 2.4 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.4 2.7 - - - 37.3 29.2 56.2 - 45.4 43.2
Dewan Hernandez - 6 4.2 2.3 2.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 3.0 - - - 35.7 50.0 60.0 - 43.2 39.3
Shamorie Ponds - 4 2.0 2.2 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.2 2.0 - - - 60.0 50.0 100.0 - 76.5 70.0
Oshae Brissett Oshae Brissett - 19 6.6 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.9 2.1 - - - 36.1 20.0 80.0 - 45.8 40.3
Malcolm Miller SF 28 5.2 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1.4 - - - 41.4 36.4 37.5 - 53.8 55.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG