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2020-08-05

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% -
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% -
Margin 60.6% 39.4% -2.4 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% -
Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.1% 32.9% -
Log Adjusted 67.1% 32.9% -
Points Off/Def 57.3% 42.7% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -10 (99-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 37 2-9 2-7 2-3 9 10 1 1 8 - -
Fred VanVleet * 34 8-13 2-5 3-4 4 10 1 0 21 - -
Pascal Siakam * 33 5-12 2-7 3-4 6 1 1 0 15 - -
OG Anunoby * 31 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 12 - -
Marc Gasol * 24 5-8 2-3 1-2 6 1 1 0 13 - -
Serge Ibaka 22 5-11 1-3 0-3 9 1 1 0 11 - -
Norman Powell 21 5-10 3-6 1-1 2 0 0 0 14 - -
Terence Davis 16 1-3 0-2 2-3 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 14 2-5 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Chris Boucher 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Matt Thomas 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Stanley Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Malcolm Miller 0 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vučević * 33 4-10 1-3 3-4 9 3 2 0 12 - -
Evan Fournier * 32 4-11 1-5 6-7 2 3 0 0 15 - -
James Ennis III * 28 4-12 0-6 0-0 6 2 1 0 8 - -
D.J. Augustin * 28 3-9 2-6 1-2 3 4 3 0 9 - -
Aaron Gordon * 20 3-9 0-2 3-6 11 5 0 3 9 - -
Terrence Ross 31 6-14 3-11 0-0 1 2 2 1 15 - -
Markelle Fultz 19 2-9 0-1 4-5 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Wes Iwundu 15 4-6 2-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Gary Clark 15 4-6 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Khem Birch 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -

* = starter