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2020-08-12

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 81.6% 18.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% - โœ“
Margin 59.3% 40.7% -2.1 โœ“ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 60.3% 39.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -4 (121-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 29 5-14 2-6 3-7 9 4 0 1 15 - -
Norman Powell * 26 5-10 3-6 4-5 3 1 0 0 17 - -
Fred VanVleet * 25 3-11 1-3 3-3 2 6 0 0 10 - -
Kyle Lowry * 24 6-11 1-4 6-9 1 3 2 0 19 - -
Marc Gasol * 19 4-8 2-4 1-1 5 1 2 1 11 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 24 2-3 1-2 3-4 6 4 1 0 8 - -
Matt Thomas 23 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 21 7-12 4-6 1-2 9 0 0 4 19 - -
Terence Davis 15 1-6 1-5 2-2 3 2 2 0 5 - -
Malcolm Miller 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Stanley Johnson 8 2-4 0-1 1-2 4 4 0 1 5 - -
Paul Watson 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Dewan Hernandez 4 2-3 1-1 1-3 0 2 0 0 6 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 24 8-13 1-4 5-8 6 5 0 2 22 - -
Josh Richardson * 24 3-8 1-3 3-3 5 0 2 1 10 - -
Shake Milton * 22 2-9 2-6 2-2 4 5 0 0 8 - -
Al Horford * 18 3-6 2-5 1-2 4 5 0 1 9 - -
Joel Embiid * 13 1-4 0-0 3-4 9 0 1 1 5 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 29 5-10 5-9 6-6 5 4 2 0 21 - -
Matisse Thybulle 29 4-7 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 10 - -
Raul Neto 26 6-15 2-6 3-3 1 5 1 1 17 - -
Mike Scott 21 4-5 2-3 2-3 5 2 1 0 12 - -
Norvel Pelle 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 3 4 - -
Marial Shayok 9 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 3 - -

* = starter