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2020-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 (23.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% -
Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% -
Log Adjusted 20.2% 79.8% -
Points Off/Def 25.1% 74.9% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +27 (129-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 33 6-10 0-1 6-8 7 7 3 0 18 - -
Thaddeus Young * 29 9-12 3-5 0-1 7 1 2 0 21 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 29 3-11 2-6 0-0 5 5 0 0 8 - -
Chandler Hutchison * 27 5-13 1-4 6-9 5 1 1 0 17 - -
Luke Kornet * 23 3-11 1-7 1-2 5 1 1 0 8 - -
Coby White 24 4-13 4-11 0-0 1 5 0 0 12 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 24 4-10 3-8 1-2 1 2 0 0 12 - -
Cristiano Felicio 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 13 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Daniel Gafford 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Shaquille Harrison 4 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 - -
Adam Mokoka 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 32 5-11 2-6 0-0 4 8 1 0 12 - -
Kyle Lowry * 29 3-7 3-7 5-6 4 6 0 1 14 - -
Pascal Siakam * 27 6-14 0-2 5-5 9 5 0 0 17 - -
Serge Ibaka * 24 7-12 1-2 1-2 6 1 0 3 16 - -
OG Anunoby * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 4 - -
Terence Davis 28 12-15 6-7 1-2 4 1 0 0 31 - -
Chris Boucher 24 5-10 1-4 4-4 5 1 2 0 15 - -
Patrick McCaw 22 3-5 2-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 10 - -
Matt Thomas 18 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Stanley Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Oshae Brissett 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Paul Watson 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 - -

* = starter