Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | β (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | β |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +17 (118-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deandre Ayton * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 34 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 31 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dario Ε ariΔ | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 18 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Elie Okobo | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cheick Diallo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jonah Bolden | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OG Anunoby * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 12-19 | 5-9 | 8-8 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 37 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka * | 25 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 25 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter