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2020-08-09

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% -
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -
Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Log Adjusted 25.1% 74.9% -
Points Off/Def 28.4% 71.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +9 (108-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 40 7-19 2-4 1-1 4 10 0 1 17 - -
Dillon Brooks * 34 11-26 3-10 0-0 6 2 3 0 25 - -
Anthony Tolliver * 29 1-6 1-5 2-2 2 2 2 0 5 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 27 0-2 0-1 0-2 10 1 1 1 0 - -
Kyle Anderson * 11 1-2 0-0 1-1 3 2 1 0 3 - -
Grayson Allen 33 6-14 4-10 4-4 4 1 0 0 20 - -
Brandon Clarke 26 6-10 2-4 2-4 9 2 1 0 16 - -
De'Anthony Melton 22 3-8 1-5 1-2 2 3 6 0 8 - -
Gorgui Dieng 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 5 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 36 4-12 2-9 5-6 7 8 4 0 15 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 9-16 4-9 4-6 1 3 1 1 26 - -
Fred VanVleet * 35 4-7 1-3 5-6 3 5 4 2 14 - -
OG Anunoby * 27 2-8 2-5 0-0 5 0 3 1 6 - -
Marc Gasol * 22 3-4 1-2 3-4 6 1 1 1 10 - -
Norman Powell 29 4-8 1-3 7-7 2 4 0 0 16 - -
Serge Ibaka 25 5-9 2-3 0-2 12 3 3 2 12 - -
Matt Thomas 10 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Terence Davis 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Chris Boucher 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter