Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -4 (106-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 40 | 4-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 12-23 | 5-11 | 6-9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 22 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 21 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 12 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 25 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 25 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 28 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 18 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter