Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +16 (130-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 37 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| John Collins * | 33 | 11-14 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 27 | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 29 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 28 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - | |
| Damian Jones | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 20 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Vince Carter | 17 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Charlie Brown Jr. | 4 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - | |
| Treveon Graham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 32 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 29 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 8 | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 26 | 8-20 | 2-8 | 6-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 16 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 27 | 9-14 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 22 | - | |
| Norman Powell | 23 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 22 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 13 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Malcolm Miller | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter