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2020-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% - βœ—
Margin 44.7% 55.3% +1.2 βœ— (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.0% 17.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 83.0% 17.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 72.8% 27.2% - βœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -6 (109-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 36 8-16 2-6 5-6 5 5 3 0 23 - -
Fred VanVleet * 36 3-13 2-7 0-0 7 12 1 0 8 - -
Pascal Siakam * 33 5-12 1-3 8-10 5 2 5 1 19 - -
Serge Ibaka * 33 10-14 3-6 3-3 4 1 1 1 26 - -
OG Anunoby * 31 4-9 1-1 0-2 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Norman Powell 25 5-12 3-7 3-4 5 0 1 0 16 - -
Patrick McCaw 20 2-2 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Chris Boucher 14 4-5 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 1 10 - -
Terence Davis 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 35 7-16 1-4 1-2 5 8 1 0 16 - -
Kevin Love * 32 8-13 6-9 1-1 5 4 1 0 23 - -
Collin Sexton * 32 9-17 1-5 4-4 4 4 1 1 23 - -
Tristan Thompson * 26 1-4 0-1 0-0 12 1 0 0 2 - -
Cedi Osman * 22 3-8 2-7 0-0 5 4 1 0 8 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 28 5-9 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 13 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 25 5-10 1-2 2-2 9 0 0 1 13 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 18 0-6 0-3 2-2 4 1 2 0 2 - -
John Henson 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 - -
DantΓ© Exum 6 3-6 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 7 - -

* = starter